This will serve as the 3/9 Daily Dose
It’s time for my prospect rankings for each league and I want to throw out a few points before I get to today’s American League list:
o I’m new to prospecting. This is my first ranking of prospects as I’ve spent the last two years getting better at it before finally diving in this year. Keith Law, Kevin Goldstein, John Sickels, Jason Collette, the BA folks (Jim Callis, Aaron Fitt, John Manuel, etc…) and Adam Foster are all much more seasoned, just to name a handful whose work I enjoy. I stand 100% behind the work, but this isn’t yet an area of expertise for me. I wouldn’t necessarily be eager to suggest anything is an area of “expertise” for me, but I’m much more in my element discussing major leaguers right now, but I want to get better at prospecting so it’s time to start ranking.
o I have seen a handful of these guys live, though the bulk of my experience with them comes from reading extensively and watching video online.
o There aren’t individual player capsules here, those are all in the Starting Pitcher Guide.
o The ceiling is a best-case scenario as I see it.
o The ranking combines the best-case scenario with how likely they are to reach it. This means someone might project with a higher ceiling, but be less likely to reach it and thus rank below someone with a lower ceiling who is closer to it.
o This doesn’t slant toward 2011. It’s all encompassing. In other words, don’t use it in your re-draft fantasy leagues and get upset with me if Jacob Turner doesn’t throw 120 innings for you later this summer. It’s meant more for leagues with minor league rosters of any size and dynasty leagues.
RK | Player | TEAM | ETA | Ceiling |
1 | Jeremy Hellickson | TB | 2011 | 1 |
2 | Matt Moore | TB | 2012 | 1 |
3 | Michael Pineda | SEA | 2011 | 1 |
4 | Manuel Banuelos | NYY | 2012 | 1 |
5 | Zach Britton | BAL | 2011 | 2 |
6 | Jacob Turner | DET | 2013 | 1 |
7 | Martin Perez | TEX | 2012 | 1 |
8 | Kyle Drabek | TOR | 2010 | 2 |
9 | Mike Montgomery | KC | 2012 | 1 |
10 | Chris Sale | CHW | 2010 | 1/Closer |
11 | Dellin Betances | NYY | 2012 | 2/Closer |
12 | John Lamb | KC | 2012 | 2 |
13 | Chris Archer | TB | 2012 | 2 |
14 | Kyle Gibson | MIN | 2011 | 2 |
15 | Andy Oliver | DET | 2010 | 2 |
16 | Danny Duffy | KC | 2012 | 2 |
17 | Drew Pomeranz | CLE | 2012 | 2 |
18 | Casey Crosby | DET | 2013 | 2 |
19 | Alex Wimmers | MIN | 2013 | 2 |
20 | Chris Dwyer | KC | 2012 | 2 |
21 | Alex White | CLE | 2012 | 2 |
22 | Aaron Crow | KC | 2012 | 2 |
23 | Drake Britton | BOS | 2013 | 2 |
24 | Alex Torres | TB | 2012 | 2 |
25 | Jason Knapp | CLE | 2012 | 2 |
26 | Tyler Chatwood | LAA | 2011 | 2 |
27 | Alex Colome | TB | 2013 | 2 |
28 | Anthony Ranaudo | BOS | 2013 | 2 |
29 | Michael Kirkman | TEX | 2010 | 3 |
30 | Tijuan Walker | SEA | 2014 | 1 |
31 | Tanner Scheppers | TEX | 2011 | 2/Closer |
32 | Robbie Erlin | TEX | 2013 | 3 |
33 | Miguel de los Santos | TEX | 2013 | 2 |
34 | Ivan Nova | NYY | 2010 | 3 |
35 | Jason Thompson | TB | 2013 | 2 |
36 | Enny Romero | TB | 2014 | 2 |
37 | Andrew Brackman | NYY | 2012 | 2/Closer |
38 | Felix Doubront | BOS | 2010 | 3 |
39 | Mauricio Robles | SEA | 2011 | 3 |
40 | Zach Stewart | TOR | 2011 | 3/Closer |
41 | Drew Smyly | DET | 2013 | 2 |
42 | Andre Rienzo | CHW | 2014 | 2 |
43 | Jake Odorizzi | KC | 2013 | 2 |
44 | Ian Krol | OAK | 2013 | 3 |
45 | Brett Marshall | NYY | 2013 | 3 |
46 | Alex Cobb | TB | 2012 | 3 |
47 | Aaron Sanchez | TOR | 2014 | 2 |
48 | Yordano Ventura | KC | 2014 | 2 |
49 | Charlie Furbush | DET | 2011 | 3 |
50 | Shawn Haviland | OAK | 2012 | 3 |
I’ll be hosting a chat soon to discuss both this and more of the Starting Pitching Guide. Plan for next Thursday, but I’ll definitely post the details ahead of time. In the meantime you can reach me on Twitter or Facebook if you have questions about this list.