Archive for ‘Data & News’

Friday: 11.3.2006

Battery Powered

The formidable pitcher-catcher tandem of Kenny Rogers and Ivan Rodriguez were awarded Gold Gloves on Thursday. For Rogers, it was his fifth Gold Glove and fourth in a row. Meanwhile, Pudge brings home his 12th piece of defensive hardware. The full list of American League winners:

P – Kenny Rogers, Detroit Tigers
C – Pudge Rodriguez, Detroit Tigers
1B – Mark Teixeira, Texas Rangers
2B – Mark Grudzielanek, Kansas City Royals
3B – Eric Chavez, Oakland A’s
SS – Derek Jeter, New York Yankees
OF – Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle Mariners
OF – Vernon Wells, Toronto Blue Jays
OF – Torii Hunter, Minnesota Twins

In other news, GM Dave Dombrowski signed a much deserved four-year extension to retain his role through 2011. Obviously, with all the success the team enjoyed this year, it is no surprise that Dombrowski was given the extension. Even if the team had won 85 games, though, he’d still be plenty deserving.

Tuesday: 10.31.2006

A Great Season.

A tremendous season ended with bitter disappointment as the Tigers more or less threw the World Series away. I’m not taking anything away from the St. Louis Cardinals, a playoff-tested team that answered the bell and punished the Tigers for each and every one of their many mistakes. I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t heartbroken by the World Series loss, but the season was a huge victory overall. The off-season will bring plenty of action here at BbP, so I thank all that have been visiting and encourage you to continue visiting through the winter for plenty of in-depth analysis of the season from a Detroit standpoint as well as the season at large. My Bill James Handbook ships tomorrow and I’m sure after I dive into that, it’ll provide plenty of material for me to write about here.

The Tigers should also be players in the hotstove including rumored interest in Daisuke Matsuzaka. Sean Casey‘s World Series performance should have cemented his role as a Tiger next year, but more left-handed power is a need as well. I’m terrified at this news because of how well he fits the aforementioned need. Improving the team is one thing, but I draw the line at this clown. If you add a problem attitude to improve the team taking a chance that a coach or manager can rein him in (Terrell Owens for example), but adding someone like this leaves a sour taste in my mouth. The Tigers have said nothing about pursuing him, so it’s pure speculation that they would even consider it, but I would rather not even bother with it all.

At any rate, BbP has no off-season. The site gained a fair bit of traction with the World Series and I plan to build off of that.

Thursday: 10.26.2006

You’ve Got To Be Kidding Me.

I haven’t made it any secret that I’m not a huge fan of Bill Simmons. He’s very hit-n-miss and for the past few years, his miss rate is much higher. I think he runs out the same tired jokes time and again and focuses far too much on reality TV jokes that often miss the mark. I realize Page 2 isn’t the bastion of sports, hell ESPN isn’t either, but maybe a little less focus on trying to pop off a one-liner wouldn’t make them look so forced and cause them to fall flat. Anyway, I was directed to his latest article, filled with backtracking of the highest order after he blasted the World Series, wherein he actually accused Kenny Rogers of steroid use:

“Back to Rogers: Does anyone else believe that he planted that brown stuff on his left hand to deflect attention away from the fact that he fits every possible profile of a steroids/greenies guy? I mean, let’s say you just returned from a three-week safari in Africa and I told you, “Yo, there’s this veteran pitcher in his early 40s with a storied track record for choking in big games, only now he’s working on a 22-inning scoreless streak in October and punctuating each start by screaming after every out and stomping around like a crazy homeless guy trying to clear out a bus stop?” Wouldn’t your first thought be, “What’s he taking?” Instead, we’re worried about some mud on his hand? Somebody make this guy pee in a cup, please.”

This claim is laughable at best and somewhat disturbing at worst. I just don’t see how this guy links a turn of luck in the postseason coupled with emotion during the streak as a sign of steroids. It probably wouldn’t bother me so much if I didn’t already dislike him, but this is just ridiculous. Stick to Laguna Beach references and an unhealthy obsession with the NBA.

Saturday: 10.14.2006

Yes!!!

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/playoffs2006/news/story?id=2625500

No more needs to be said.

Tuesday: 10.3.2006

Detroit Tigers v. New York Yankees

The plan was for me to go to Detroit and enjoy a first round playoff game this week with my sister and my brother-in-law. I even ordered a new Detroit hooded sweatshirt for the trip that arrived yesterday, just in time for my planned trip. Of course, the final two months of play put that plan in peril and finally the last weekend of the season dashed it altogether. Nevertheless, we must trek on. After all, the Detroit Tigers are in the playoffs for the first time since I was six. Needless to say, I don’t really remember any of that season so this is the first time I get to enjoy my absolute favorite professional sports team (Detroit Lions #2) in postseason action. Instead of keeping the entire day off at work, I am going to go for a half day (12-5), but I will be home in plenty of time for the game.

It’s obvious to anyone with a pulse that the Tigers are significant underdogs against these New York Yankees, but that doesn’t mean they cannot win. They need plenty to go right, but the October mantra is plus pitching beats plus hitting and the one thing the Tigers have is plus pitching. During the September skid, the staff still posted a composite ERA of 3.80, including sub-3.00 figures posted by Game 1 starter Nate Robertson (2.76) and Kenny Rogers (2.79). Both left-handers will be keys to the series for the Tigers. In fact, at the risk of looking like I’m aping ESPN, I feel that Robertson is probably the key player in the series for Detroit. I told my dad this over the weekend and Keith Law wrote as much in his preview of the series this morning. Robertson allowed .181/.218/.269 line against left-handers this season. The Yankees lineup features just three right-handed batters in Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Gary Sheffield. Meanwhile, the rest of the lineup is filled with lefties and switch hitters with Bobby Abreu, Melky Cabrera, Robinson Cano, Johnny Damon, Jason Giambi, Hideki Matsui, Jorge Posada and Bernie Williams. I know, that is 11 players. Very scary stuff.

The Yankees wear pitchers out by drawing an average of four walks per game. This was a heavy contributor to their league-best .363 on-base percentage. Thankfully, the Tigers are second best among playoff teams at preventing walks, allowing just three per game (Minnesota, 2.2). Walks will be the key to this series. However, it will be based on how many the Tigers hitters are able to draw that goes a long way in determining their fate. This is hardly groundbreaking information as it has been an oft-discussed issue all season that the swing-happy Tigers must show some semblance of patience to be successful in the playoffs. Here is table that shows the team’s ability (or inability as it were) to take walks by month and in particular situations:

Month BB/K BB/G
Apr 0.40 2.65
May 0.38 2.68
Jun 0.34 2.81
Jul 0.35 2.36
Aug 0.36 2.17
Sep 0.44 3.19
     
Situation BB/K  
None
On
0.36  
Runners
On
0.40  
Scoring
Pos.
0.48  
Inning
1-6
0.39  
Inning
7+
0.37  



The Tigers play a softballesque sort of game that cashes in on home runs, but you have to have runners on base for those home runs to truly count against a team like the Yankees. Solo home runs won’t put this team at bay for too long. The team hit 117 solo home runs against just 86 with runners on. If they can reverse the trend and hit 58% (or more) of their home runs with runners on, it will take some pressure off of their pitching staff.

Carlos Guillen is the key hitter for the club as he has been the best throughout the season. He should probably be batting third instead of fifth. I doubt manager Jim Leyland will make any sweeping changes to the lineup including the move of Guillen, but another to consider might be to remove Curtis Granderson from the leadoff spot. He put together an impressive season, but his strikeout problem actually peaked in September with 35 (lumping in the October 1st game). In fact, the opening lineup is in the balance due to Marcus Thames’ flu. How would I set the lineup? Glad you asked:

Curtis Granderson, CF
Placido Polanco, 2B
Carlos Guillen, SS
Magglio Ordonez, RF
Ivan Rodriguez, C
Craig Monroe, LF
Sean Casey, 1B
Marcus Thames, DH
Brandon Inge, 3B

I understand the idea behind Casey batting third, but he isn’t anywhere near his on-base percentage displayed in Pittsburgh earlier this season and Cincinnati in past seasons. For now, I’d prefer him sixth. I know I just got done saying Granderson might be better suited away from leadoff, but I just love Polanco in the two-hole and no one else strikes me as a leadoff hitter. Though a very limited sample (12 at-bats), Rodriguez was exemplary as a leadoff hitter and I could see throwing him up there. The simple fact is, lineup order isn’t a huge deal and its construction won’t impact the series enough to worry any further about it. The team needs to be patient and get on base whether they are the first, fifth or ninth hitter.

So what about those key pinch-hit situations that make October so exciting? The Tigers bench is laden with a trio of punch-less middle infielders, an effective if unthreatening backup catcher and an average outfielder. Omar Infante, Neifi Perez and Ramon Santiago made the roster with Vance Wilson and Alexis Gomez. The entire roster shakes out as follows (thanks to DTW.com):

Infielders: Casey, Polanco, Guillen, Inge, Infante, Perez, Santiago
Outfielders: Monroe, Granderson, Ordonez, Gomez, Thames
Catchers: Rodriguez, Wilson
Starting Pitchers: Robertson, Verlander, Rogers, Bonderman
Relief Pitchers: Jones, Rodney, Zumaya, Walker, Ledezma, Grilli, Miner

So I have been thinking about this series non-stop since Sunday evening. Am I just psyching myself into believing my beloved team can compete? How can the Tigers win this series? I mean, honestly, how can they? First off, they can get back to what they did at the beginning of the season and that is pitch fantastically with nearly flawless defense behind those hurlers. Any extra outs given to the Yankees will almost be automatic runs, because there is no break in the lineup. That said, to completely write the Tigers off, as most of the national media have, because they limped in on one helluva sour note is foolish at best. You can’t erase what the team did this season and suggest that a poor month (though horribly timed) is enough to discount their accomplishments. The only carryover from September the Tigers will want to bring with them is their increased patience at the plate. If they get men on base, they most certainly can hang with this team. Everything about momentum and crying in our beers over last weekend ends now. It’s game time. The 2006 Detroit Tigers are in the playoffs and everyone is 0-0. In a short series, everything is heightened and I truly believe that a Game 1 win tonight will set the tone for the Tigers to take down the Bronx Bombers.

Detroit in five.

I have to go to work…

Preview Central
Detroit Tigers Weblog
Mack Avenue Tigers
ESPN Game Preview
ESPN – Keith Law
Detroit Tigers Tales
Baseball Prospectus
Hardball Times
CBS Sportsline
Freep – Mitch Albom
Baseball Analysts

Complete Playoff Predictions
Oakland over Minnesota in 5
Detroit over New York in 5
Oakland over Detroit in 6

St. Louis over San Diego in 5
New York over Los Angeles in 4
New York over St. Louis in 5

Oakland over New York* in 5

*If El Duque is seriously injured, I’ll jump on the Cardinals bandwagon in full force.

Saturday: 08.12.2006

Check-In

It has been entirely too long since I’ve been by here, but such is life with mandatory overtime at work and then a weekend out of town for the graduation of a very good friend. The Tigers continue to play well, but are in danger of dropping the first two in the Chicago series. Before going out last night, I was able to watch most of the game. Thome and AJ got the best of Verlander, but the two pitches weren’t bad, they really weren’t. At any rate, I’m currently at a graduation party for the aforementioned friend so I don’t want to spend too much time in here playing on the computer. I’ll be home tomorrow and I’m starting to settle into the new schedule, which has me working 11:30-8:30 regularly, until 10:30 on the mandatory overtime schedule, with Thursdays and Fridays off. I’ll come with a full update on Monday, if not tomorrow after work. The partying will continue through the day, then I have to drive home around 6 AM tomorrow before working, so looking for an update tomorrow might be a bit much.

Thursday: 07.27.2006

An Off-Day

The Tigers have an off today and currently hold an 8.5 game lead over the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins. Well over a month ago, I mentioned that with Francisco Liriano and Johan Santana, the Twins couldn’t languish near the bottom of the American League Central for very long. Now, they find themselves tied with the White Sox and just a half game back of the New York Yankees for the AL Wildcard. My lunch break is nearing an end, but I’ll be back with a preview of the huge weekend set against the Twins, in Minnesota that starts tomorrow.

Monday: 07.17.2006

Angels Ascending.

Featured in July 8th Sportsblurb.com Newsletter:

At the Break…

by Paul Sporer

At 41-45, to say the Los Angeles Angels have been a disappointment is as obvious as it is an understatement. Not to be outdone by the Minnesota Twins, the Angels have decided to spot the entire American League West the first half. Unlike the Twins, they aren’t stuck battling two of baseball’s best and as such, they are just four games back of the division leading Oakland A’s. The team is finally starting to show that they are in fact interested in winning this season starting with the selection of the right Weaver (Jered) for their rotation. His brother, Jeff, was moved this week to the St. Louis Cardinals for a Mark McGwire commemorative button. But even still, they are still a few moves from putting their best foot forward in this division race.

First off, they need to get Howie Kendrick back on this team immediately. He is once again crushing the competition in Triple-A ball and does the team no good down there. He is currently sporting a .369/.409/.627 batting line with 13 home runs, five triples and 25 doubles. He is also 11-for-14 in stolen bases. They currently have Adam Kennedy filling the second baseman’s role, and while he is solid in his right, there is no reason to let him block Kendrick. Kennedy is hitting .260/.317/.355 which does nothing to help a team that painfully struggles to score enough runs for their rotation.

Something needs to be done about Garret Anderson, too. If they are truly serious about competing at a high level, then his at-bats need to be cut. He has been utter garbage since his hot April. He has just three home runs in 194 at-bats after hitting four in 94 April at-bats. He has not come anywhere near his .309/.356/.511 April line, either. If they aren’t going to take him out of the lineup more (and they probably won’t) they at least need to drop him in the lineup in favor of Mike Napoli and Juan Rivera.

One move that has worked out beautifully for the team was the promotion of Napoli. His 11 home runs, in just 135 at-bats, give him the second-most on the team (Vladimir Guerrero, 18). Speaking of Guerrero, he is having a “down” year by his standards meaning improvement is expected on his .304/.346/.514 line. Add Kendrick, shuffle Anderson, getting continued production out of Orlando Cabrera, Napoli, Robb Quinlan, Rivera, and Tim Salmon with some improved second half numbers from Guerrero and this team can make a move, because the pitching is there.

With Weaver, Bartolo Colon, Kelvim Escobar, John Lackey, and Ervin Santana, the Angels throw five guys that can all pitch a shutout on any given night. Meanwhile, rubber-armed Scot Shields and his supporting cast of Hector Carrasco, Brendan Donnelly, and Kevin Gregg all leading to ace closer Francisco Rodriguez anchor the bullpen. The Angels, not the Texas Rangers, should be the biggest worry of the Oakland A’s for the second half.

That piece was written during their second of three straight wins against the Athletics. Coupled with their post-All Star sweep of the Devil Rays, they have won six straight and nine of 10 to pull within 1.5 games of Oakland. Oakland handled their own taking three of four from the Boston Red Sox including two routs over the weekend to prevent the Angels from gaining too much ground.

The Angels got one of their keys to success down by recalling Kendrick, unfortunately it only came about because Escobar hit the disabled list. In his first major league game since a stint in early May, Kendrick when 3-for-4 with two runs scored and two RBIs. The catalyst, as expected, has been Guerrero. In just 11 July games, he topped his June home run total of three. He is hitting .422 in July with four home runs and 12 runs batted in. Though I called him out last week, Anderson has answered the bell in nine July games, hitting .333 and getting on-base at a .450 clip.

It remains to be seen how long they’ll stay hot, but in terms of pure talent, this team was too good to be playing so poorly. The rest of the rotation should be able to pick up the slack while Escobar is out, but Lackey may decide to pick it all up on his own. He has thrown 24.7 straight scoreless innings and won his last four decisions with a 0.82 ERA, 0.58 WHIP and 34 strikeouts in 32.7 innings. His 2.69 trails just Francisco Liriano (2.12) in the American League and Brandon Webb (2.58) in the National League for the Earned Run Average Crown.

Next up for the Angels are the struggling Indians, who were dumped for three of four against the Minnesota Twins coming out of the All-Star Break. The series presents a perfect opportunity for the team to remain hot before entering back-to-back to road series’ against Kansas City and Tampa Bay before getting Boston and Oakland to close out July.

Tuesday: 07.11.2006

All-Star Break!!

Work’s been sucking up my time of late, but I’m not going anywhere. I’ll do an All-Star Game Pace Game today or tomorrow and talk about the team going forward. I’ll also probably have a few things to say about tonight’s game after I watch it when I get home from work.

Thursday: 07.6.2006

What A Disgrace!

The fans got it half right. The only problem is, the half they got wrong is so pathetically wrong that it almost completely erases the correct part. For the All-Star Game Final Vote, the fans voted in Dodger firstbaseman Nomar Garciaparra for the National League and White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski for the American League. I’m thoroughly happy with Nomar winning the NL vote as he was my vote. Garciaparra outlasted Milwaukee pitcher Chris Capuano, Philadelphia outfielder Bobby Abreu, New York Mets pitcher Billy Wagner and San Diego pitcher Chris Young to earn his trip to the game. He is leading the National League with a .359 batting average and also has a .426 on-base and .582 slugging in 64 games, two more than he played all of last year.

Fans that voted for Nomar (or even Capuano and Abreu) and either Travis Hafner, Francisco Liriano or Justin Verlander, you’re excused. The rest of you: SIT DOWN! It is an aboslute travesty that Pierzynski pulled this vote off and you clowns are at fault. I can’t even get my head around it. Were you guys dropped on your heads as kids, in the past month, yesterday???? The cause seems to be a ridiculous campaign called “Punch A.J.” that fueled a bevy of ballot stuffing leading to his victory, because it certainly was any level of merit. He is so completely outclassed by Hafner, Liriano and Verlander in terms of statistics warranting an All-Star berth that it’s not even funny. The fifth candidate, Ramon Hernandez, was more deserving as well. You try to give the fans a chance to fix Ozzie Guillen‘s egregious errors and they compound his stupidity by selecting yet another one of HIS players!!! As if I needed any more reasons to hate Guillen (though I’m sure he’ll keep them pumping out faster than USWeekly can produce photographs of Paris Hilton being a dumb skank). Please keep in mind that this has nothing to do with any feelings of Pierzynski as a person. He has a negative reputation in some places, but I’m not taking any of that into account here. This rant is based strictly on the fact that Hafner, Liriano and Verlander will have three straight off-days next week when they should be in Pittsburgh and Pierzynski . I guess AJ stands for “a joke.”