I’ve only got a time for a very quick post before heading to bed (I’m beat), but I wanted to get Monday’s selections out. I’ll post Week 7 results and Tuesday-Friday picks tomorrow.
Jason Vargas (SEA @ MIN) – Vargas has become a really nice spot starter that many still don’t believe in for some reason. Sure, he’s not a great pick if you’re chasing wins. But if you’re chasing wins then you’re not paying attention anyway. You look for the best possible scenarios for strong starts and let the wins fall where they may. There is just too much randomness tied to the stat to get caught up in chasing them. The Minnesota offense has been absolutely disgusting this year so while Vargas is usually more of a home-road play (leaning home), this is a prime road start for him.
Bartolo Colon (NYY v. TOR) – Colon is three-time pick on Trolling and he been amazing having posted a 1.57 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 10 K/BB in 23 innings of work. Further accentuating my point about chasing wins, he has just one win in the three outings. He is still widely available in ESPN and Yahoo! leagues with ownership rates under 35% while his CBS mark has risen to 73%. Of course that still leaves 17% and a lot of those are probably leagues where streaming pitchers is a viable strategy.
Keep An Eye On: Josh Outman (OAK) – I was a big fan of Outman’s back in 2009 when he was in the midst of a breakout before succumbing to injury that cost him all of 2010. He is back with the A’s and starting on Monday in Los Angeles and I recommended keeping him on your watch list. His minor league numbers are ugly as home runs and walks plagued him leading to a 4.78 ERA, but his 7.2 K/9 is right there in line with the 7.1 we saw in ’09. He was a bit fortunate back in ’09 with a .233 BABIP, but his massive flyball tendencies are less damaging in his home park so at the very least he could become a nice matchup play for his home starts. If you’re in a super-deep league looking for pitching and have a spot, he might be worth stashing ahead of the curve.
Week 7 results and the rest of the week tomorrow.