Archive for ‘Data & News’

Tuesday: 04.17.2007

Tragedy Strikes


The Washington Nationals (including former Tiger Dmitri Young) wore Virginia Tech caps to honor the lives lost in Monday’s massacre in Blacksburg, VA.

By now, everyone knows the horrific events that went down yesterday in Blacksburg, VA at the Virginia Tech campus. The effect of 32 deaths resonates into the lives of hundreds, the online Tigers nation being no exception. Brian Bluhm, a frequent contributor to both the Detroit Tigers Weblog and the Motown Sports forum, was one of the victims of yesterday’s massacre. I never personally interacted with Bluhm, at least not to my knowledge, but it still to awful and has definitely affected the Tigers online community as a whole. My thoughts and prayers with family and friends of Mr. Bluhm.

For more:
Detroit Tigers Weblog
Detroit Tiger Tales
The Wayne Fontes Experience
Mack Avenue Tigers
Danny Knobler
Motown Sports Thread

Friday: 04.6.2007

2007 Season Picks

With an off-day for the team yesterday, I figure now is as good a time as any to roll out my 2007 Predictions. Actually, before the season would’ve been better, but I didn’t get to posting them here in time. Here are my division and award winners:

American League East – New York Yankees
American League Central – Detroit Tigers
American League West – Los Angeles Angels
American League Wildcard – Boston Red Sox

It is tough to leave the Minnesota Twins on the outside looking in, but I’m not a fan of their rotation after Johan Santana. In fact, I’m not sure that they are fans of their rotation after Santana.

American League MVP – Grady Sizemore
American League Cy Young – Johan Santana

With three homers already, it looks like I’m merely joining the Grady Sizemore bandwagon. Au contraire. In fact, anyone that knows me, knows full well that I’ve been driving the bandwagon for some time. I had Sizemore pegged for a monstrous season and he’s jumped out of the gate quite nicely. As for Cy Young, you’d have to be a fool to bet against Santana. He is so damn good.

National League East – Philadelphia Phillies
National League Central – Milwaukee Brewers
National League West – Arizona Diamondbacks
National League Wildcard – New York Mets

I love the baby snakes in the West. It’ll be tough for them to come away victorious, but that division is wide open.

National League MVP – Carlos Beltran
National League Cy Young – Ben Sheets

Again, Ben Sheets looks like a pick made after seeing his Opening Day start. It wasn’t, but that only helped. Frankly, if anyone made a season long prediction based on one game of the season, they’d be be foolish.

Playoffs:
LAA over NYY
DET over BOS
LAA over DET

NYM over MIL
PHI over ARZ
PHI over NYM

LAA over PHI

I want to pick the Tigers to win it all, and I have the utmost confidence that they can, but I’m too superstitious and think that my picking them would jinx it.

Sunday: 03.4.2007

Best GMs In Sports

Billfer brought to light, by way of Baseball Think Factory, a Forbes magazine listing of rankings for all the general managers in sports. Dave Dombrowski ranks 48th, which is right in the middle. It is tough to argue with most of the baseball GMs ahead of him: Billy Beane (26), Omar Minaya (29), Theo Epstein (30), Brian Sabean (31), Pat Gillick (39), John Schuerholz (42), Larry Bienfest (43) and Walt Jocketty (47). I think that Schuerholz is underrated while Sabean and Gillick are both overrated.

Joe Dumars is the highest rated Detroit GM at #15. That is about right, he is definitely the best in Detroit and I could see a justification for him being in the top 10. According to the list, the Red Wings brass has dropped significantly landing Ken Holland at 90th out of 98, yet they continue to win and pile up the points so I don’t know how he’s so low. As Billfer mentioned, Matt Millen not registering last really blasts the credibility of the list as a whole, but he is coming at 96th being only Mike Brown of the Cincinnati Bengals and Michael Lombardi of the Oakland Raiders. Kevin McHale of the Minnesota Timberwolves checks in at #1, but I thought the whole Joe Smith fiasco more or less decimated the franchise. So who knows how valid the ranks are at all.

Saturday: 03.3.2007

New Column Up

I’ve started my weekly column over at Sportsblurb.com for the season. I’m doing a strategy piece for fantasy baseball and this week I tackled the top pick in American League-Only drafts as I discussed taking Alex Rodriguez or Johan Santana.

I’ll have my 2B and SS Top 25s up soon, as well.

Friday: 03.2.2007

Cool Picture…

Just wanted to show this cool picture, courtesy of Yahoo!:

Friday: 12.22.2006

Finally, Some Time To Breathe

After about a month of 12-hour days, the holiday rush is finally over. For those of you that don’t know (or care), I sell computers for a living at Dell and the past month has been a whirlwind of action. Mandatory overtime three hours a day, short lunches, difficult customers and non-stop flow of calls have all finally ground to a halt with Christmas just three days away. Now, I enjoy the next three days off before heading back on Tuesday without knowing what to expect. Will there really be much demand for new systems? Well sure, there’ll be people who asked for some money from everyone to put it all together to get their own computer, but I imagine that the bulk of the calls will be related to customers unhappy with their orders and wanting something free, irate about unshipped orders that didn’t make it in time to get under the tree and those just looking to return their systems. As such, I’m sure the company goals will be adjusted accordingly.

Enough about that, though, this is a baseball blog after all. I realize to those (maybe one or two) that have been coming here regularly, posts have been infrequent. The rant found above is the sole reason why. Though I’ve stopped posting, the baseball world hasn’t stopped producing a steady stream of news as the hot stove continues to burn in full force. Some big names remain unsigned, namely Barry Zito, while plenty of trade rumors crop up daily. Today alone produced a bevy of news involving two of the most prolific power hitters of the modern age. Sammy Sosa is working out his body in hopes for a return to the game this season. Sosa endeared himself as one of the most likable characters in baseball during the home run chase of ’98, but a drop in production buried in allegations of steroids abruptly derailed the tail end of his career. Last season, he received barely a nibble on the open market and chose not to play at all. He likens his 2006 absence to those of Ted Williams, Barry Bonds and Frank Thomas. The former missed time due to war, while the latter two battled through injuries to return after a lengthy period of time off.

Speaking of time off, Ken Griffey Jr. is already injured. The painfully unlucky slugger broke his left hand in an at-home accident that will leave him in a cast for three weeks. His spring training status is uncertain as of now. Maybe he’s using his injury time early this season so he can play more games for the Reds. All joking aside, it really does suck to see such a great player continually fall prey to series of maladies. Junior has topped 155 games just four times in 18 seasons and has yet to top 145 games since joining Cincinnati in 2000.

Detroit Tigers news has been scant since my last posting almost three weeks ago. Jeremy Bonderman and Brandon Inge were both locked up and Jose Mesa joined the club. Let’s take a look at the three moves in order. There was a bit of talk about Bonderman being moved at the outset of the off-season to get some legitimate power hitting in Motown. Once the Gary Sheffield trade was completed, it looked a lot less likely that Bonderman would leave. After a four-year deal worth $38 million dollars was completed, his fate is sealed. Bonderman enjoyed a career-year during the dream season in Detroit with career bests in win percentage (.636), ERA (4.08), WHIP (1.30), K/9 (8.5), and strikeouts (202) while pitching a career-high 214 innings. Bonderman, who turned 24 shortly after the postseason, was the prize of the Jeff Weaver deal with the Oakland A’s and New York Yankees despite being the player to be named later.

Inge has made tremendous strides all around since joining the big league club in 2001. Once regarded as one of the worst offensive players in baseball, Inge has solidified himself as a power-threat with slick glove work down at the third base making him an integral part of the Tigers’ future. His sweeping improvements have been rewarded with a four-year deal that netted him $24 million dollars. His fielding received rave reviews all summer long as opposing announcers constantly made comparisons between Inge and some of the most renowned third basemen to play the game. He did still make 22 errors, second-most in the American League (Alex Rodriguez, 24), but drew the praise from his ability to make plays the rest of the third basemen weren’t even getting to, as evidenced by his major league-best 3.45 range factor and .825 zone rating.

The departure of Jamie Walker to Baltimore left a void that needed filling. Mesa fills the roster spot, though not the role as he is right-handed. Instead, it appears as though Wil Ledezma will become the lefty set up with Mesa in more of long-relief role. He was fair in Colorado a year ago posting a 3.86 earned run average in 72.1 innings. He struck out 39 and walked 36 batters.

Saturday: 12.2.2006

Analyzing The Off-Season

It’s been some time… too much time if you ask me, but with the 12 hour work days and the recent holiday, I haven’t had much time to for writing. Detroit’s trade for Gary Sheffield set off what has so far been an electric off-season with plenty more to come. Several signings have taken place and even a few other trades have transpired since the Sheff acquisition. There has been money to burn, too, primarily in the Windy City as the Cubs landed the biggest fish to date with their Alfonso Soriano signing. There has been some outcry regarding the money Soriano got, $136 million over eights years. It’s been compared to the Carlos Beltran deal because of it’s similarity in the figures, but I don’t think it is completely apples to apples. I do think the Beltran deal was a smarter investment, but the context of each is different because of the teams that made the moves.

The Cubs planned to make a splash in this off-season from the outset. It started with hiring of Lou Piniella, then the inflated signing of Mark DeRosa ($13 million, three years) and continued with the Soriano deal. They have been rumored to be after ace starter Jason Schmidt as well. Frankly, they needed to maybe over pay a little bit to land someone like Soriano. Despite the fact that the Beltran signing is better on many levels (he is younger, a markedly better fielder and a better hitter), Soriano is no slouch.

Even when you remove his intentional walks (16), he still increased his walk total by 55% during his remarkable quest into the 40-40 club. Defensively, he came a long way from refusing to go out to his new position during a spring training game. He racked up a very impressive 22 base runner kills, the best amongst all left fielders in baseball. His fielding percentage (.969) left plenty to be desired, but he had the best zone rating of all left fielders at 2.28.

The 2006 Cubs posted an anemic .268/.319/.422 line, thus a bat like Soriano’s was in high demand this November. I don’t like to argue that just because the Cubs had the money means they should throw it away, but I also think this a case where spending a little extra to ensure you get your guy is a solid move. As a Tigers fan, I know plenty about overpaying to get the name you need to start something. The Cubs haven’t been nearly as bad as the Tigers were in their down period, but things haven’t worked out as planned for some time in Chicago.

The spending spree hasn’t been confined to Chicago. Gary Matthews Jr. robbed the Los Angeles Angels blind signing a five year deal worth $50 million dollars. I won’t deny for a second that Little Sarge had one helluva year for the Texas Rangers, especially out in centerfield with highlight plays almost nightly, but I can’t figure out what made the Angels think that he was worth $10 million dollars a year for the next five years at age 31.

He set career highs in at-bats (602), home runs (19), runs batted in (79), runs (102), hits (194), doubles (44), average (.313), on-base percentage (.371) and slugging percentage (.495). My biggest hang up here is the age factor, plus his overall defense is slightly overrated. His range factor was 11th among baseball’s centerfielders and his zone rating was 2nd worst at .847. I just don’t see the value in a five year deal worth that much for a 31-year old.

I like Soriano deal quite a bit based on a need-to-cost ratio, but I’m vehemently against the Angels dropping that much money on Matthews. I’ll take a look at a few other moves this off-season in my next post as well.

Friday: 11.10.2006

Sheffield Is A Tiger

I lamented earlier at the prospects of getting a clubhouse cancer in the form of Barry Bonds. That option appears to be completely out the window, but the potential for a cancerous presence does remain as the Tigers traded for Gary Sheffield this afternoon. I am at work, so I’ll post more as time permits. Overall, I am happy to see the Tigers go out and get a big bat. The cost was significant as they dealt three pitchers included coveted Humberto Sanchez, especially when you consider Sheffield’s age (38). More to follow.

Friday: 11.10.2006

Sponsorship

BbP has joined the sponsorship ranks at Baseball-Reference.com by signing up for Curtis Granderson‘s page. My first choice was Marcus Thames, but he was taken, so I went with Granderson.

Friday: 11.10.2006

Offseason Activities

As dismayed as I am that the baseball season is over, there is a very interesting Hot Stove ahead with plenty of player movement and intriguing stories both within the Detroit Tigers’ organization as well as baseball at large. The general managers meetings are just three days away and will continue through the 17th of November with the awards announcements beginning on the same day and lasting through New Year’s Eve. Ok, I’m kidding, they don’t last that long, but they might as well. The final award announcement, the AL MVP, is November 21st. The winter meetings are December 4th-7th.
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Though it presumably helps the Tigers from a competition standpoint, I hated the news about Francisco Liriano undergoing Tommy John surgery. Not only is a marvelous talent to watch as a baseball fan, but he was the centerpiece of a midseason trade I made in my fantasy league and because we keep so few players, I have no choice but to cut ties with him. Worse yet is I relinquished one of my favorite players, Ichiro, to get him. Lirano will miss the 2007 season.
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Some more divisional news includes the Cleveland Indians strengthening their infield with the acquisition of Josh Barfield from the San Diego Padres. Barfield, son of former major leaguer Jesse, had an impressive debut campaign that included a .280/.318/.423 line with 13 home runs and 21 stolen bases. The Indians sent infielder Kevin Kouzmanoff and right-hander Andrew Brown to the Padres to complete the exchange. Kouzmanoff obliterated minor league pitching at the AA and AAA levels this season with a .379/.437/.656 line with 51 extra-base hits. Brown was solid in 62.1 innings of AAA work with a 2.60 earned run average and 1.41 WHIP.
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The Padres stayed in the headlines by replacing former manager Bruce Bochy with Los Angeles Angels pitching coach Bud Black. Black, a former major-leaguer, had finished his seventh season as the pitching coach in Anaheim before getting a chance as a manager. Black was a player for the San Diego State Aztecs so he is no stranger to the area.
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Sunday marks the start of legitimate free agent contract discussions meaning the hot stove is officially ready to begin. Thursday marked the final day for Daisuke Matsuzaka bids, so now we wait for the biggest pitching chip to fall that should set the others in motion. With the depth at pitching in the majors and more on the way (in the form of Humberto Sanchez and Andrew Miller), the Tigers no doubt sat on the sidelines for Matsuzaka, but they should be players for a key hitter though the left-handedness that they desire within a big-time hitter is lacking for the most part. Here is a quick look at the top five free agents:

1. Matsuzaka – If for no other reason then the fact that teams have to bid on the rights just to talk to him. The mystery surrounding the gyroball and the general fanfare that always surrounds the imports from the Far East make D-Mat very intriguing. The primary candidates in the bidding were the usual suspects–both New Yorks and Boston–with the Cubs and Rangers alleged to have joined in on the fun as well.

2. Barry Zito – Even without a dearth of pitching talent on the market, Zito figured to be paid handsomely. A left-hander with a nasty curve and a Cy Young Award under his belt and only 28 years to his name makes him a prime candidate for a hefty contract in a big market. A career-high in walks (99) led to his worst WHIP ever at 1.40.

3. Alfonso Soriano – How do you make people forget that you refused to go field your new position in Spring Training because you were unhappy? You can start by acquitting yourself in said position over 159 games and oh yeah, become the fourth player in the history of the game to go 40-40. His destination is unknown, but reports have him seeking Carlos Beltran-like money for his services.

4. Aramis RamirezReports indicate that as many nine teams are interested in Ramirez, including the Tigers. Where would this put Brandon Inge? Given Inge’s defensive ability at third and his power source at the bottom of the lineup, I don’t see Ramirez as a fit in Detroit. I wouldn’t kick his bat out of the lineup, but there appears to be better fits on the market for the team. Of note, should he find himself in a Detroit uniform, is that he is a notoriously slow starter with 50 home runs and a .349 on-base percentage in 942 pre-All Star Break at-bats during the 2004-2006 season while smashing 55 home runs in 662 post-All Star Break at-bats with a .376 on-base percentage in the same span.

5. Carlos Lee – Being an outfielder and very DH-worthy, he is a more likely candiate to wind up in the English D than Ramirez. Lee was rumored in with Detroit during the deadline in July, but many signs are pointing at him landing in Houston. They had a terrible last year, cleared tons of money off the books and he fits the mold of someone that could underperform and then be released only to end up helping a competitor stave off his former team in a pennant race. See also: Wilson, Preston.
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I’ll be updating the bookcase to include a host of great books I’ve picked up for off-season reading, including the one I just finished entitled Baseball: A History of America’s Favorite Game by George Vecsey. It’s a great little book that covers a lot of history in a breezy 272 pages. I especially enjoyed the parts about Branch Rickey‘s contributions to the game, which I first began learning about in Alan Schwarz‘s fantastic book The Numbers Game. Some of the history from both overlapped, but I found Baseball to be quite enjoyable and highly recommend it.

Next on my list is The Mind of Bill James by Scott Gray. I’ve ordered far too many books lately and there is no doubt that Amazon will be bankrupt me eventually, but I just can’t help myself. With my Bill James Handbook 2007 firmly in hand, I now eagerly await Ron Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster and The Hardball Times 2007 Annual both set for release in the coming weeks.